And in the person of Savchenko Kremlin got a hostage, whom it can use in bargaining with Ukraine and the West.

Belarus, i.e. Belarusan authorities and to some extent — the civil society has all leverages for relaunching Belarus-EU relations.

The Centre for European Transformation completed a study of how believers percept the Belarusan legislation in the field of freedom of thought, conscience, and religion.

Central district court of Minsk tried to convict Uladzimir Matskevich for participating in a rally, who, meanwhile was outside Belarus. Instead of “the feasible” contribution to replenish the state treasury in the form of a fine, Uladzimir Matskevich revealed the scheme of false testimony in Belarusan courts.

Signs of publicity are already looming on the horizon, but the decisiveness of the regime for changes is not visible yet.

If Russia needs to occupy Belarus, it will only have to give an order to the Belarusan army, not dislocate more troops in the country.

The problem is that the Belarusan authorities should make certain steps for the sake of National Dialog.

Russia can’t leave Belarus without support unless it wants to completely lose it, even if only in the status of a symbolic ally.

What relations with the opposition the authorities want to have? Why has Uladzimir Matskevich agreed to work at ONT? Why he doesn’t become politician himself since he knows and talks so much about it?

Neither Minsk nor Brussels nor Warsaw has clear understanding of how to build the bilateral relations in future.