There are several reasons for that, and the current state of the EU’s Eastern Partnership Initiative is the first one.

But now it is of great importance for Kyiv that Belarus stays being neutral in Ukraine-Russia confrontation, as Ukraine fears escalation of conflict and a full-scale war.

Neither in its economic nor in its quality institutional and political characteristics Eurasian Union can become a counterbalance for the EU.

Supporting Ukraine with gestures and rhetoric, Belarus is compelled to support Russia with actions.

However, Moscow will continue destabilizing the situation at the east of Ukraine through stimulating actions aimed at disrupting of Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

However, Russia is most unlikely to recognize the president election in Ukraine, as it will mean that Euromaidan is recognized and did happen.

Pro-Russian lobby is neither influential nor decisive in Belarus, but in case of emergency, Moscow will be supported in Minsk.

However, south-eastern regions can be separated from Ukraine despite the will and wishes of Ukrainians.

However, it is only a coincidence that the big hockey event started on the Victory Day.

We shouldn’t underestimate the risk of Russian expansion to Belarus, especially when Belarusan patriots are losing in the information warfare.